With negative headlines around everything from refugees to elections to the euro, you could be forgiven for thinking Europe is still in crisis mode. The truth is negative headlines can obscure the larger picture.
Here are three reasons to stop discounting Europe.
None of this means it will be all clear sailing ahead. Fears over the future of the European Union may have diminished following far right candidate Marine Le Pen’s electoral loss in France. However, risks of a breakup are still relevant—and were incorporated into the scenarios we took into account when deciding on our portfolios’ investments in European stocks—but we are convinced they are outweighed by the compelling long-term opportunity. Based on the first quarter’s stock returns, markets are starting to bear that out. With the economy recovering, and the euro’s cheap valuation, we’re also now comfortable moving to an unhedged position.
As we’ve seen, particularly as of late, investor sentiment can shift quickly. Sitting on the sidelines waiting for the perfect moment to invest is a good way to miss opportunities, particularly in a market the size of Europe’s. We are constantly reevaluating our views, and we’re willing to ride out short-term swings as long as we believe they will play out in the long term. That’s also how we approach wealth management in general, always considering the bigger picture and how the individual pieces will work together to help our clients reach their goals.
Do you have more questions or want to discuss the topics covered in this post? Please call your Litman Gregory Wealth Advisor or contact us here.
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Even as the rate of unemployment remains high, COVID-19 continues to spread in the U.S., and economists forecast a huge drop in economic activity, the stock market continues to rally. We remind our clients that market prices reflect a consensus view about the future and that maintaining a disciplined investment approach is the best way forward.
Why is the Market Going Up When Economic News Looks Grim?
Our clients, and investors broadly, have been asking this important question: How do we reconcile the recent stock market gains, particularly in the United States, with the poor state of the current economy and the weak outlook? In this post, we explain the variables that impact investor behavior and respond to why financial markets can rally in the face of negative news.